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Bangladesh's energy crisis demands pragmatism over ideological purity

Bangladesh's energy crisis demands pragmatism over ideological purity
Economy · 2026
Photo · Priti Sharma for Asian Examiner
By Priti Sharma Economy & Markets Editor Sep 29, 2026 5 min read

For over three decades, a significant segment of Bangladesh's political left has adhered to a rigid doctrine: the nation's natural resources—gas, coal, and minerals—must be developed exclusively by state entities. Foreign energy companies are viewed with deep suspicion, and production-sharing contracts are routinely condemned as vehicles for siphoning national wealth to multinational corporations. Coal extraction, particularly open-pit mining, has drawn even sharper resistance.

Few figures have championed this stance more consistently than economist Anu Muhammad and his National Committee to Protect Oil, Gas, Mineral Resources, Power and Ports. Their long-running campaigns have shaped the national media narrative on energy, transforming projects like the Phulbari open-pit coal mine into symbols of alleged foreign exploitation. They have successfully framed any energy deal with outside capital as an existential threat to national ownership.

To be fair, the environmental objections raised by these activists warrant serious consideration. The Phulbari dispute highlighted acute concerns about mass displacement, destruction of farmland, groundwater depletion, and ecological damage. As Anu Muhammad recently reiterated, resource extraction cannot be plausibly classified as development if it dismantles local agrarian economies, ecosystems, and human habitations.

Yet the left's position becomes intellectually fragile when legitimate environmental advocacy hardens into an indiscriminate hostility toward foreign capital and technical expertise. Bangladesh can no longer afford to treat its national energy discourse as an abstract seminar or a street protest over political purity. The country faces an acute energy crisis: daily gas demand stands at around 3,800 to 4,000 million cubic feet, while domestic production provides barely 2,600 million. Shrinking reserves have forced the state into a dangerous over-reliance on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG).

This import dependency has proven costly. Recent geopolitical volatility across Middle Eastern supply routes has pushed Asian spot LNG prices to eye-watering highs. Bangladeshi manufacturers now endure persistent supply curtailments and rolling power outages, while the treasury absorbs sharp fiscal burdens. Over 40% of the nation's power generation currently hinges on imported LNG, severely undercutting industrial expansion. The Houthi Red Sea campaign has only tightened the squeeze on Asia's energy lifelines, underscoring the fragility of supply chains.

Rethinking the role of foreign investment

This is why the old dogma on foreign exploration must be re-evaluated. Left-wing commentators persistently offer BAPEX, the state-owned exploration entity, as a viable solution. Strengthening state capabilities is undoubtedly a worthy goal; BAPEX possesses valuable localized geological insight, technical personnel, and operational infrastructure. But bolstering a national oil company is fundamentally distinct from shutting out global energy corporations.

Consider deep-sea exploration in the Bay of Bengal. High-seas drilling demands immense capital expenditure alongside extreme financial risk. A single offshore exploratory well can easily absorb hundreds of millions of dollars without yielding any commercial discoveries. While nationalizing that risk carries rhetorical political appeal, the state remains fully exposed when costly wells come up dry. International oil majors exist precisely because their global balance sheets can absorb such losses.

Bangladesh has spent years learning how challenging it is to lure global energy majors. Despite restructuring production-sharing terms to offer lucrative blocks across the Bay of Bengal, major tenders have repeatedly failed to attract a single international bid. Rather than triggering a serious debate regarding contractual competitiveness, geological data sharing, and regulatory predictability, public discourse predictably degenerated into binary slogans pitting national sovereignty against foreign exploitation.

The left's historical skepticism regarding flawed energy contracts is not entirely unfounded. Bangladesh has previously suffered under opaque power purchase agreements, exorbitant capacity charges, and emergency quick-rental power schemes that effectively transferred public funds to politically connected domestic elites. The fatal flaw, however, lies in leaping from specific contractual failures to a generalized rejection of all foreign involvement. A competent state does not cede its future by retreating from global markets; it uses robust statecraft to bargain effectively within them.

Examples from other developing and developed economies offer valuable lessons. When India negotiated its landmark civil nuclear accord, domestic communist parties launched fierce political opposition, citing lost strategic autonomy. India pushed forward regardless, recognizing that ideological opposition to foreign partnerships frequently prioritizes geopolitical identity over systemic energy security. Similarly, Germany's rapid transition away from nuclear energy, largely driven by the country's socialist left, met harsh realities after European supply shocks, forcing the state to hastily build LNG import terminals, temporarily extend nuclear assets, and reactivate coal capacity.

Bangladesh faces far tighter financial constraints. Every scarce dollar funneled into emergency LNG purchases is a dollar diverted from infrastructure, education, social welfare, and health. True national sovereignty is not defined by isolationism or insistence on doing everything alone. It lies in the state's capacity to manage complex risks: balancing domestic capabilities with foreign capital, diversifying import dependencies, and enforcing rigorous environmental standards on foreign and domestic operators alike. As Japan's response to the Hormuz crisis shows, energy security often demands proactive engagement with global markets.

Resource nationalism offers no answers when factories run out of power today. Governing an energy-strapped country requires replacing ideological purity with hard-headed pragmatism. That means fortifying BAPEX while inviting global investors, maximizing domestic natural resources, and accelerating the renewable transition. The path forward is not about surrendering sovereignty but about exercising it wisely in a complex, interconnected world.

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